Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000157 0.000174 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000262 0.000292
2025-03-23 0.000125 0.000149 0.000177 0.000213 0.000257 0.000309 0.000377
2025-03-30 0.000109 0.000137 0.000172 0.000220 0.000283 0.000364 0.000477
2025-04-06 0.000093 0.000122 0.000161 0.000215 0.000291 0.000395 0.000549
2025-04-13 0.000079 0.000108 0.000147 0.000204 0.000288 0.000409 0.000599
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000101 0.000142 0.000205 0.000301 0.000445 0.000685
2025-04-27 0.000067 0.000097 0.000140 0.000209 0.000319 0.000492 0.000793
2025-05-04 0.000061 0.000091 0.000135 0.000208 0.000328 0.000524 0.000880
2025-05-11 0.000057 0.000087 0.000132 0.000210 0.000341 0.000564 0.000989
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000082 0.000128 0.000208 0.000349 0.000596 0.001085
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000078 0.000124 0.000207 0.000357 0.000629 0.001190
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000074 0.000120 0.000205 0.000363 0.000658 0.001290
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000068 0.000113 0.000196 0.000357 0.000666 0.001351
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000065 0.000111 0.000197 0.000369 0.000711 0.001504
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000064 0.000111 0.000204 0.000393 0.000785 0.001732
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000061 0.000107 0.000199 0.000394 0.000810 0.001852
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000190 0.000382 0.000805 0.001900
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000054 0.000098 0.000190 0.000393 0.000853 0.002090
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000053 0.000098 0.000194 0.000412 0.000923 0.002353
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000051 0.000095 0.000193 0.000419 0.000964 0.002545
2025-08-03 0.000026 0.000049 0.000094 0.000194 0.000433 0.001023 0.002804
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000047 0.000092 0.000193 0.000439 0.001065 0.003020
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.000046 0.000090 0.000192 0.000446 0.001111 0.003261